2026 Healthcare Staffing Trends: What Every Facility Administrator Needs to Know

Published on 15 January 2026 at 09:32

The healthcare staffing landscape entering 2026 looks dramatically different than it did just twelve months ago. Between major regulatory shifts, persistent workforce shortages, and accelerating technology adoption, administrators at skilled nursing facilities, assisted living communities, and long-term care facilities face critical decisions that will shape their operations for years to come.

The numbers tell a sobering story: 55% of healthcare workers plan to switch jobs in 2026. The national nursing shortage rate sits at 8.06%, with licensed practical nurses facing a 20% shortfall. And facilities are still navigating 42% annual CNA turnover rates while an aging population demands more care than the current workforce can provide.

Understanding these trends is no longer optional—it's essential for survival. Here are the key staffing developments shaping 2026 and what they mean for your facility.

 

1. Federal Minimum Staffing Mandate Repealed: What It Means for Your Facility

In December 2025, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) repealed the 2024 federal minimum staffing rule for nursing homes. Effective February 2, 2026, Medicare and Medicaid-certified facilities are no longer required to meet the 3.48 hours per resident day (HPRD) staffing minimum or maintain 24/7 registered nurse coverage.

The nursing home industry largely supported this change, citing workforce shortages that made compliance impossible for many facilities, particularly in rural areas. However, resident advocacy groups have condemned the repeal, noting that the original rule was estimated to save 13,000 lives annually.

Importantly, the enhanced facility assessment requirements remain in effect. Facilities must still evaluate and document their staffing based on actual resident acuity and needs—meaning many facilities will need to maintain staffing levels at or above the repealed minimums to meet this standard.

What this means for administrators: While the federal mandate is gone, state regulations still apply, and CMS will continue monitoring quality outcomes. Facilities that reduce staffing below what resident needs require will face consequences through quality ratings, surveys, and potential legal liability. The repeal offers flexibility, not a free pass to understaff.

 

2. The Nursing Shortage Intensifies—With a Critical LPN Gap Emerging

According to the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), the national nursing workforce will meet only 91.94% of demand in 2026. But the real story is in the breakdown: while registered nurse shortages sit at 10%, licensed practical nurses face a 20% shortfall—and this gap is projected to double to 28% by 2036.

The 2025 NSI National Health Care Retention & RN Staffing Report shows that RN turnover remains around 16%, with more than 287,000 staff RNs leaving positions annually. Meanwhile, nearly 92,000 qualified nursing school applicants were turned away in recent years due to faculty shortages, limited clinical sites, and insufficient funding.

For long-term care specifically, the pipeline problem is severe. Over one-third of nurses will reach retirement age in the next ten to fifteen years, and the profession is losing experienced clinical knowledge faster than it can be replaced.

What this means for administrators: Don't assume the nursing shortage will "fix itself." Build relationships now with staffing partners who can provide LPNs and RNs on short notice. Consider investing in career ladder programs that help CNAs advance to LPN roles within your organization.

 

3. CNA Staffing Remains in Crisis

The CNA staffing situation has been described in peer-reviewed research as "a looming disaster." Annual turnover exceeds 42%, meaning facilities effectively replace their entire CNA workforce every three years. The 2025-2026 Nursing Home Salary & Benefits Report shows a slight improvement—CNA turnover dropped from 44.16% to 42.34%—but this remains the highest turnover of any nursing home role.

The drivers haven't changed: CNAs earn an average of just over $20 per hour while performing physically demanding, emotionally taxing work with limited career advancement opportunities. Research published in The Gerontologist highlights that disrespect from supervisors causes greater job dissatisfaction than low compensation alone.

The downstream effects are severe. Studies show that higher CNA turnover is directly associated with more health inspection citations, lower quality ratings, and worse resident outcomes. Facilities that can't retain CNAs struggle to maintain continuity of care.

What this means for administrators: Retention must go beyond pay increases. Successful facilities are implementing self-scheduling, wellness programs, recognition initiatives, and clear pathways to LPN certification. Partnering with staffing agencies for per diem coverage can also prevent burnout among permanent staff by ensuring adequate shift coverage.

 

4. Flexibility Has Become the Primary Retention Lever

A Harris Poll found that 55% of U.S. healthcare workers plan to search for, interview for, or switch jobs in 2026. The top drivers aren't just compensation—they're burnout, inflexible schedules, and feeling undervalued. In fact, 84% of healthcare employees reported feeling underappreciated by their current employer, and only 1 in 5 felt their workplace was invested in their long-term career growth.

The Indeed Pulse of Healthcare 2025 report revealed that 42% of programs designed to combat burnout fail to address root causes. Two in five healthcare workers say their jobs feel unsustainable, and half report feeling exhausted. What workers want is clear: flexibility and control over their schedules rank among the top factors in job satisfaction.

This shift explains why per diem and contract work continues to attract experienced nurses. Systems that introduced self-scheduling and tuition assistance report RN turnover below 10%, according to NSI research—dramatically better than the national average.

What this means for administrators: Rigid scheduling and mandatory overtime are now retention killers. Consider hybrid staffing models that combine a core permanent team with flexible per diem professionals. Give staff more control over their schedules wherever possible.

 

5. AI and Automation Are No Longer Optional

Twenty-two percent of healthcare organizations implemented domain-specific AI tools in 2025—a sevenfold increase from 2024. The global AI in healthcare market is estimated at $39.25 billion for 2025, projected to reach $504 billion by 2032.

The applications gaining the most traction directly address staffing challenges: AI-powered scheduling platforms that automatically balance clinical requirements, staff preferences, and real-time census changes. Automated credentialing systems that verify licenses and certifications in hours instead of weeks. Predictive analytics that forecast staffing needs based on historical patterns and anticipated demand.

Organizations using these tools report significant improvements: cutting time-to-hire by 29 days, achieving 71% replacement rates for last-minute call-offs without manual outreach, and saving over two hours per transaction in scheduling and credentialing.

What this means for administrators: If your scheduling still relies on spreadsheets and phone calls, you're operating at a competitive disadvantage. Technology won't solve the workforce shortage, but it can dramatically improve how efficiently you deploy the staff you have.

 

6. Rural and Underserved Areas Face Unprecedented Challenges

Geographic disparities in healthcare staffing continue to widen. Rural areas face a projected 60% physician shortage compared to just 10% in urban centers. Only 10% of U.S. physicians practice in rural areas, despite rural populations accounting for 20% of the country.

For nursing staff, the challenge is compounded by the repealed federal staffing mandate, which was originally designed with phased timelines giving rural facilities additional time to comply. While the repeal removes that compliance pressure, it doesn't solve the underlying workforce gap.

The WWAMI Rural Health Research Center identifies key barriers to rural recruitment: fewer professional growth opportunities, limited access to healthcare education programs, professional isolation, and concerns about lifestyle factors. Rural hospital closures—with 50% of rural hospitals operating in the red—have further destabilized these communities.

What this means for administrators: Rural facilities must be creative. This includes partnering with staffing agencies experienced in travel and contract placements, investing in telehealth infrastructure (while monitoring the uncertain federal telehealth policy landscape), developing local workforce pipelines through community partnerships, and offering lifestyle incentives beyond compensation.

 

7. The Staffing Market Is Stabilizing—But Not Recovering

Staffing Industry Analysts projects the healthcare staffing market at $39.4 billion in 2025, a 6% decline from 2024. The forecast for 2026 shows only modest improvement—around 2% growth. This reflects market correction after the pandemic surge, but also structural constraints that won't resolve quickly.

The travel nursing segment has normalized significantly. Average weekly pay for travel nurses in 2025 dropped to just under $2,300, down 42% from pandemic peaks of nearly $4,000. However, demand for per diem nurses in acute care settings is projected for modest growth, and the locum tenens market continues expanding at approximately 10% annually.

For facilities, this means rates are more reasonable than during the pandemic—but the underlying shortage of qualified professionals remains. Organizations that rely solely on last-minute agency calls will continue paying premium rates and struggling with coverage gaps.

What this means for administrators: Now is the time to establish or strengthen relationships with staffing partners. Build these partnerships before you need them urgently. Facilities with strong agency relationships get priority access and better rates when critical needs arise.

 

8. Compliance Remains Critical Despite Regulatory Shifts

While the federal staffing mandate has been repealed, compliance requirements haven't disappeared. The enhanced facility assessment provision remains in effect, requiring facilities to evaluate staffing based on actual resident needs and acuity. State-level staffing regulations still apply. And CMS continues to monitor quality outcomes through the Five-Star rating system.

Research consistently shows that staff turnover is directly linked to lower quality ratings on health inspections. Facilities with high turnover receive more citations for quality-of-care issues. For facilities using agency staff, ensuring every professional is properly credentialed before their first shift remains essential for both regulatory compliance and risk management.

What this means for administrators: Work with staffing partners who have rigorous credentialing processes already in place. The right partner should provide pre-screened, fully credentialed professionals who are ready to work immediately—not candidates who require weeks of paperwork before they can take a shift.

 

Preparing Your Facility for 2026 and Beyond

The healthcare staffing challenges of 2026 require strategic, proactive approaches. Facilities that thrive will be those that:

Build flexible workforce models that combine permanent staff with reliable per diem and contract coverage. Invest in retention through scheduling flexibility, career development, recognition programs, and workplace culture improvements. Leverage technology for scheduling, credentialing, and workforce planning. Establish strong partnerships with staffing agencies that understand healthcare compliance and can deliver qualified professionals quickly. Plan proactively rather than scrambling to fill shifts at the last minute. Monitor regulatory developments at both federal and state levels.

The repeal of the federal staffing mandate offers flexibility, but it doesn't change the fundamental equation: quality patient care requires adequate, qualified staff. Facilities that use this moment to cut corners will face consequences through quality ratings, survey outcomes, and resident and family expectations. Those that use it to build more sustainable, strategic staffing models will emerge stronger.

 

How FlexForce Medical Staffing Can Help

At FlexForce Medical Staffing, we understand the challenges facility administrators face in this evolving landscape. With over 30 years of healthcare industry experience, we provide credentialed RNs, LPNs, CNAs, and allied health professionals for per diem, contract, and permanent placements.

Our rigorous credentialing process ensures every professional we place meets your facility's standards and is ready to provide exceptional patient care from day one. We can often fill urgent staffing needs within 4-8 hours, and our 24/7 support means you're never alone when coverage challenges arise.

Whether you're building a hybrid staffing model, preparing for seasonal demand, or need reliable backup when call-offs happen, FlexForce is the partner you can count on.

Ready to build a more resilient staffing strategy for 2026? Contact FlexForce Medical Staffing today to learn how we can support your facility's workforce needs.